2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,005 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 133 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,073/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$225
Net cashflow
$-85/mo
Annual
$-1,021/yr
Cap rate
5.54%
Cash-on-cash
-2.70%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (9.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 133 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#374 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Sumiton Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #442 of 627 statewide, top 72%, 714 students, 72% FRL); Sumiton Middle School (math 10% / reading 36%, grade F, #176 of 257 statewide, top 70%, 452 students, 76% FRL); Dora High School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #252 of 305 statewide, top 84%, 472 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 53% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 133 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29