2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
528 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$852/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$52
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$179
Net cashflow
$254/mo
Annual
$3,045/yr
Cap rate
10.64%
Cash-on-cash
15.53%
DSCR
1.69
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($852 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (8.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#210 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Meeker (rural): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #123 of 270 in OK (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Meeker Es (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #354 of 845 statewide, top 47%, 342 students, 0% FRL); Meeker Ms (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #167 of 345 statewide, top 51%, 162 students, 0% FRL); Meeker Hs (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #150 of 447 statewide, top 48%, 209 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (8.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.2% in Meeker — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6HAXD6B1JKNY3
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29