2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,328 sqft ·
Built 1920
· Condo
· Active
· 260 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,927/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$524
HOA
−$604
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$615
Net cashflow
$-1,437/mo
Annual
$-17,247/yr
Cap rate
3.00%
Cash-on-cash
-11.75%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.59%
Cash to close
$139,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (50.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $293k (41.5% below list).
It's been on market 260 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (50.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $53k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $50k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 21% of rent; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $197k; list at $500k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$86k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
At $2,927/mo this rent would consume 89% of the median local household income ($39k/yr) (locally 714% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 260 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 51% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6JSFA645TJCZE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29