None bd · None ba ·
7,942 sqft ·
Built 1993
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 332 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$15,165/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,177
Tax + insurance
−$2,917
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,185
Net cashflow
$-114/mo
Annual
$-1,362/yr
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.28%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$490,000
Investor read
This is a multifamily listed at $1.75M. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.73M (0.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.52M (13.3% below list).
It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.54M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.52M (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $52k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in MS, #285 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-.
Lafayette County School District (town): math 47% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #29 of 130 in MS (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Lafayette Upper Elementary School (math 46% / reading 39%, grade F, #105 of 375 statewide, top 28%, 823 students, 100% FRL); Lafayette Middle School (math 45% / reading 42%, grade D, #46 of 179 statewide, top 25%, 447 students, 99% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 53% / reading 42%, grade D, #28 of 197 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 49% district-wide (50 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 857 active listings in the ZIP; 503 units permitted in Lafayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lafayette County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.7% in Oxford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $15,165/mo this rent would consume 267% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 1892% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.