3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,686 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 171 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,769/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$559
HOA
−$633
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$582
Net cashflow
$-578/mo
Annual
$-6,933/yr
Cap rate
3.98%
Cash-on-cash
-8.25%
DSCR
0.63
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-578 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $198k (34.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (7.7% below list).
It's been on market 171 days — a 12% lower offer ($264k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $198k (34.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $32k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $30k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#135 in FL, #2,039 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $300k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$52k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 171 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6QM8Y0YDFN5PP
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29