0 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,856 sqft ·
Built 1921
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,626/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$301
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$551
Net cashflow
$462/mo
Annual
$5,549/yr
Cap rate
8.51%
Cash-on-cash
7.93%
DSCR
1.35
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $462 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $231/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $235k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in ND, #605 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Fargo 1 (urban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #28 of 53 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,218 units permitted in Cass County in 2024 (410 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cass County population projected at +69% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 2.5% in Fargo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,626/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 1919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6QV0M0BE5KKY6
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29