2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
7,210 sqft ·
Built 1897
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,030/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$419
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,106
Net cashflow
$6,194/mo
Annual
$74,334/yr
Cap rate
36.04%
Cash-on-cash
106.23%
DSCR
5.73
1% rule
4.01%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 5 × 7-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($74k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,146 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Northern Tioga SD (rural): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #301 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 32 units permitted in Tioga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Tioga County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F6ZY519GQCH01Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29