2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
964 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,729/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$56
HOA
−$875
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$363
Net cashflow
$21/mo
Annual
$254/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
2.19%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $79k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $21 ($254/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#79 in OR, #3,556 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: commute D+.
Mcminnville SD 40 (town): math 50% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #20 of 183 in OR (top 11%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Patton Middle School (699 students, 66% FRL); Mcminnville High School (2,319 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 51% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 390 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 282 units permitted in Yamhill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yamhill County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.2% in McMinnville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F7DHC54J7KFWAJ
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29