3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,242 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 290 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,693/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$968
Tax + insurance
−$382
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-156/yr
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.30%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$51,688
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-156/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (1.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (8.3% below list).
It's been on market 290 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#90 in MI, #2,044 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D-, commute F.
Portage Public Schools (urban): math 48% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #67 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Angling Road Elementary School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #484 of 1,397 statewide, top 38%, 370 students, 33% FRL); Portage North Middle School (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #110 of 493 statewide, top 23%, 552 students, 42% FRL); Portage Northern High School (math 45% / reading 71%, grade C, #92 of 713 statewide, top 13%, 1,252 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 339 units permitted in Kalamazoo County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kalamazoo County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in Portage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 290 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29