3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,001 sqft ·
Built 1993
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 149 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,757/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,337
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$-215/mo
Annual
$-2,577/yr
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.61%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.69%
Cash to close
$71,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-215 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $217k (14.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $176k (31.1% below list).
It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($224k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (31.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#75 in OR, #3,362 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Eagle Point SD 9 (suburban): math 26% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #134 of 183 in OR (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 233 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 904 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (212 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $139k; list at $255k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.2% in Eagle Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F7R0BY68DVYNR0
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29