2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
404 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 310 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$398
Tax + insurance
−$587
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$-47/mo
Annual
$-563/yr
Cap rate
12.83%
Cash-on-cash
23.35%
DSCR
2.04
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$21,252
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $76k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-47 ($-563/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $69k (9.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
It's been on market 310 days — a 12% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#701 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Haywood County Schools (suburban): math 55% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #50 of 178 in NC (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Jonathan Valley Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 378 students, 99% FRL); Waynesville Middle (math 49% / reading 54%, grade C, #103 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 720 students, 62% FRL); Tuscola High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 917 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
Market conditions: 287 active listings in the ZIP; 537 units permitted in Haywood County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $76k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.8% vs local median 2.3% in Maggie Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 310 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29