3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 2012
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,536/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$134
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$532
Net cashflow
$878/mo
Annual
$10,542/yr
Cap rate
11.87%
Cash-on-cash
19.93%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$52,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $878 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $172k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#367 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Campbell County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #55 of 131 in VA (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Altavista Elementary (math 59% / reading 64%, grade B, #516 of 1,108 statewide, top 47%, 500 students, 75% FRL); Altavista High (math 40% / reading 72%, grade C, #275 of 319 statewide, top 87%, 669 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 37% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 315 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (51 in 5+ unit buildings).
Campbell County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.9% in Altavista — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F8G5G1BE4SQS20
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29