4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,497 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 205 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,287/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,520
Tax + insurance
−$483
HOA
−$49
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$480
Net cashflow
$-246/mo
Annual
$-2,951/yr
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.64%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$81,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-246 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $254k (12.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (21.1% below list).
It's been on market 205 days — a 12% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $229k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Mcadory Elementary School (math 14% / reading 40%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 667 students, 61% FRL); Mcadory Middle School (math 2% / reading 33%, grade F, #199 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 854 students, 74% FRL); Mcadory High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #237 of 305 statewide, top 78%, 1,162 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 49% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 436 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 205 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F8SVCG7KP1KANK
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29