2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
652 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Other
· Pending
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$926/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$33
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$194
Net cashflow
$593/mo
Annual
$7,120/yr
Cap rate
41.89%
Cash-on-cash
127.13%
DSCR
6.66
1% rule
4.63%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $20k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $593 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($926 rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($19k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $19k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Cloud Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #264 of 301 in MN (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Talahi Community Elementary (563 students, 84% FRL); South Junior High (math 24% / reading 37%, grade F, #192 of 258 statewide, top 77%, 867 students, 73% FRL); Technical Senior High (math 27% / reading 46%, grade F, #298 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 1,515 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 74% FRL vs 48% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 82 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 41.9% vs local median 3.9% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: cabinetry
— Dated and in need of updating.
Moderate: countertops
— Dated and in need of updating.
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— Dated and in need of updating.
Minor: paint
— Paint appears to be in good condition, but may need touch-up or fresh coat.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29