The Ridge Plan

Litchfield, NH 03052

$369,900F

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,493 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 70 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,500/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,782
• Tax + insurance: −$884
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$735
• Net cashflow: $-901/mo
• Annual: $-10,815/yr
• Cap rate: 4.25%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.28%
• DSCR: 0.68
• 1% rule: 0.66%
• Cash to close: $148,544

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-901 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $350k (5.4% below list).
• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($348k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $348k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Litchfield School District (rural): math 38% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #34 of 98 in NH (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 981 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (381 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hillsborough County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.