7 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,995 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 89 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,598/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$410
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$966
Net cashflow
$2,567/mo
Annual
$30,799/yr
Cap rate
30.93%
Cash-on-cash
88.00%
DSCR
4.92
1% rule
3.68%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#107 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
RSU 20 (rural): math 75% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #90 of 112 in ME (top 80%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.4% of price.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 143 units permitted in Waldo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Waldo County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $64k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $125k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 30.9% vs local median 2.4% in Searsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-F9V1CS7EKYDDFT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29