3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Manufactured
· Active
· 301 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$952/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$477
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$162/mo
Annual
$1,943/yr
Cap rate
8.43%
Cash-on-cash
7.63%
DSCR
1.34
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$25,480
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $91k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($952 rent vs $91k).
It's been on market 301 days — a 12% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $80k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($629 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Quitman County (town): math 10% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #184 of 187 in GA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 94% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 12 units permitted in Quitman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Quitman County population projected at -42% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $91k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 92% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.9% in Georgetown-Quitman County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 301 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FA88YZEY7916YN
· Data 16 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29