1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
476 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,089/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$388
Tax + insurance
−$123
HOA
−$209
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$229
Net cashflow
$140/mo
Annual
$1,681/yr
Cap rate
8.56%
Cash-on-cash
8.11%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$20,720
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $74k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $72k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#132 in TX, #3,928 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities D.
Ector County ISD (urban): math 22% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #707 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: L B Johnson El (math 26% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,927 of 4,322 statewide, top 68%, 517 students, 67% FRL); Nimitz Middle (math 29% / reading 36%, grade F, #947 of 1,662 statewide, top 58%, 1,303 students, 51% FRL); Permian H S (math 19% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,333 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,978 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,004 units permitted in Ector County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ector County population projected at +78% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom vanity
— slight wear
Minor: carpeting
— slight wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-FACCMW6ACDX62M
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29