1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
580 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$781/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$424
Tax + insurance
−$135
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$164
Net cashflow
$59/mo
Annual
$703/yr
Cap rate
7.16%
Cash-on-cash
3.11%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$22,627
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $81k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($703/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (3.3% below list).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $558 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#251 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
Lakin (rural): math 21% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #135 of 169 in KS (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP.
Kearny County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $81k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29