2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Manufactured
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,011/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$212
Net cashflow
$39/mo
Annual
$464/yr
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.27%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($464/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $101k (22.2% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $101k (22.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#344 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Southampton County Public School District (rural): math 43% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #85 of 131 in VA (top 65%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 60 units permitted in Southampton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Southampton County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (5.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FAFEKT2TK4SRBH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29