2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,066 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Condo
· Active
· 81 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$825/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$406
Tax + insurance
−$129
HOA
−$620
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$173
Net cashflow
$-504/mo
Annual
$-6,046/yr
Cap rate
-1.51%
Cash-on-cash
-27.86%
DSCR
-0.24
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$21,700
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $78k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-504 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $5k (94.1% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $78k).
It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $5k (94.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (9.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. James Public School District (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #226 of 301 in MN (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: St. James Northside Elementary (math 45% / reading 42%, grade F, #569 of 857 statewide, top 67%, 480 students, 66% FRL); St. James Middle/High School (math 29% / reading 43%, grade F, #300 of 471 statewide, top 64%, 551 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 43% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 75% of rent.
Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4 units permitted in Watonwan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Watonwan County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate -1.5% vs local median 3.5% in St. James — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 94% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FBRG0A70GVMKY9
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29