2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
899 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Active
· 126 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$920/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$330
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$17
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$193
Net cashflow
$262/mo
Annual
$3,146/yr
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.84%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$17,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $63k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($920 rent vs $63k).
It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $53 of equity ($436 loan paydown + $-383 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,055 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Onalaska ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Onalaska El (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #1,006 of 4,322 statewide, top 25%, 712 students, 70% FRL); Onalaska Jr/Sr High (math 48% / reading 55%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 527 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 391 active listings in the ZIP; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 2.5% in Onalaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— some discoloration
Minor: interior paint
— some wear
Minor: flooring
— some wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-FC104D8G1NHA48
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29