2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
520 sqft ·
Built 1912
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 283 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$807/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$64
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$169
Net cashflow
$285/mo
Annual
$3,420/yr
Cap rate
12.51%
Cash-on-cash
22.21%
DSCR
1.99
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$15,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($807 rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#32 in CO, #3,971 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
Julesburg School District No. Re1 (rural): math 15% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #91 of 176 in CO (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Julesburg Elementary School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #606 of 966 statewide, top 65%, 124 students, 58% FRL); Julesburg High School (math 24% / reading 75%, grade D+, #97 of 381 statewide, top 30%, 108 students, 41% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Sedgwick County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sedgwick County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FC6T7KAJXTX4T0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29