3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2012
· Manufactured
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,694/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$356
Net cashflow
$723/mo
Annual
$8,678/yr
Cap rate
16.04%
Cash-on-cash
34.82%
DSCR
2.55
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $723 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#10 in MT, #1,830 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Billings H S (urban): math 29% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #69 of 116 in MT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Billings West High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #35 of 132 statewide, top 27%, 2,269 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,401 units permitted in Yellowstone County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Yellowstone County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 16.0% vs local median 3.0% in Billings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— slight wear
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— standard fixtures
Minor: landscaping
— basic landscaping
CashFlowRE · CFR-FCYBJH99Y2E886
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29