3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,228 sqft ·
Built 1860
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,605/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$547
Net cashflow
$1,493/mo
Annual
$17,919/yr
Cap rate
32.64%
Cash-on-cash
94.11%
DSCR
5.19
1% rule
3.83%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $747/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $68k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($470 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $68k implies a 149% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 32.6% vs local median 10.1% in Elmira — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FDRZ4E3Y05GVY1
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29