13 bd · 14.0 ba ·
9,940 sqft ·
Built 1963
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$28,255/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$17,279
Tax + insurance
−$3,949
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,934
Net cashflow
$1,094/mo
Annual
$13,122/yr
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.42%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$922,600
Investor read
This is a 3×2bd/2ba + 9×1bd/1ba + 1×?bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $3.29M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $84/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.83M (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.20M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.83M (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $23k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $99k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ramona Elementary (279 students, 97% FRL); Joseph Le Conte Middle (659 students, 94% FRL); Valley Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 868 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 67% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 77 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
12 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 194295% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $2.12M; list at $3.29M implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $28,255/mo this rent would consume 561% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3614% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29