1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
874 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Condo
· Pending
· 67 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,810/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,071
Tax + insurance
−$658
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$590
Net cashflow
$-510/mo
Annual
$-6,122/yr
Cap rate
4.74%
Cash-on-cash
-5.54%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$110,600
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $395k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-510 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $321k (18.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $281k (28.9% below list).
It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($371k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $281k (28.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (3.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($99k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FEN0Q7EE98CXPD
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29