5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,280 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 109 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,055/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$124
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$642
Net cashflow
$1,477/mo
Annual
$17,726/yr
Cap rate
17.74%
Cash-on-cash
40.87%
DSCR
2.82
1% rule
1.97%
Cash to close
$43,372
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $739/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $155k).
It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $141k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 185 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $66k; list at $155k implies a 134% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 7.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent per unit runs 34% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear and discoloration suggest a major repair is needed.
Moderate: exterior siding
— Some discoloration and minor damage are visible.
Minor: exterior landscaping
— Overgrown areas and lack of decorative elements.
Moderate: exterior fencing
— Some wear is visible.
Major: interior paint
— Peeling paint indicates a major repair is needed.
Major: interior flooring
— Appears old and possibly in need of replacement or repair.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FFHF5FB4CJ60W2
· Data 21 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29