2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,282 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,652
Tax + insurance
−$298
HOA
−$608
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$840
Net cashflow
$602/mo
Annual
$7,225/yr
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.19%
DSCR
1.36
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$88,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $602 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($310k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $310k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Anita White Carson Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 524 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 64% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 12% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-20 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Greene County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: 505 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 34% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 1.0% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FFK8YY5CGQ1MN1
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29