2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,213 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Condo
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,785/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,651
Tax + insurance
−$956
HOA
−$893
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$585
Net cashflow
$-1,301/mo
Annual
$-15,607/yr
Cap rate
2.96%
Cash-on-cash
-11.90%
DSCR
0.47
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$88,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $315k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $96k (69.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $278k (11.6% below list).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($287k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $96k (69.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Felix A Williams Elementary School (math 61% / reading 67%, grade B, #552 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 531 students, 40% FRL); Stuart Middle School (math 55% / reading 55%, grade B-, #180 of 571 statewide, top 32%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Jensen Beach High School (math 53% / reading 71%, grade B-, #98 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 1,584 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 32% of rent.
Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $33k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $119k; list at $315k implies a 165% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$54k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.0% vs local median 0.5% in Sewall's Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FFMMJN0M8M8QJ2
· Data 23 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29