3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,315/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$362
Tax + insurance
−$41
HOA
−$771
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$486
Net cashflow
$656/mo
Annual
$7,867/yr
Cap rate
17.69%
Cash-on-cash
40.72%
DSCR
2.81
1% rule
3.36%
Cash to close
$19,320
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $656 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#45 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
Pueblo County School District 70 (suburban): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #40 of 86 in CO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Prairie Winds Elementary School (math 24% / reading 27%, grade F, #594 of 966 statewide, top 62%, 500 students, 47% FRL); Sky View Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #106 of 270 statewide, top 42%, 577 students, 41% FRL); Pueblo West High School (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #192 of 381 statewide, top 51%, 1,484 students, 40% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 269 units permitted in Pueblo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pueblo County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 2.1% in Pueblo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FG8KSQ27JFM54W
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29