12 bd · 8.0 ba ·
6,092 sqft ·
Built 2023
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 286 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$25,298/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,439
Tax + insurance
−$3,427
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$5,313
Net cashflow
$7,119/mo
Annual
$85,434/yr
Cap rate
11.32%
Cash-on-cash
17.97%
DSCR
1.80
1% rule
1.41%
Cash to close
$504,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.80M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $7k ($85k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $1.80M).
It's been on market 286 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.58M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 900 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-1.5% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $504k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $25,298/mo this rent would consume 340% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 550% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 286 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FGBS47DBQK21PD
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29