2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,221 sqft ·
Built 1951
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,847/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$26/mo
Annual
$311/yr
Cap rate
6.43%
Cash-on-cash
0.51%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($311/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $185k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#207 in MN, #4,362 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Mora Public School District (town): math 44% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #115 of 301 in MN (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 59 units permitted in Kanabec County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kanabec County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $55k; list at $220k implies a 297% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.3% in Mora — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FGNYNA212J1STV
· Data 59 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29