2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,694 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,865/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$247
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$392
Net cashflow
$-85/mo
Annual
$-1,015/yr
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.45%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$69,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (6.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (25.4% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $186k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#433 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Shelby Eastern Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #84 of 301 in IN (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Morristown Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 994 statewide, top 48%, 307 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 47% FRL vs 27% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 285 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (147 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shelby County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $135k; list at $250k implies a 85% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FGW5BX7Z51G5N5
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29