2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,607/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$737/mo
Annual
$8,850/yr
Cap rate
17.79%
Cash-on-cash
41.05%
DSCR
2.83
1% rule
2.09%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $77k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in WA, #768 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Marysville School District (suburban): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #177 of 291 in WA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Liberty Elementary (425 students, 70% FRL); Marysville Middle School (644 students, 66% FRL); Marysville Pilchuck High School (1,238 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 40% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 777 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 64d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,982 units permitted in Snohomish County in 2024 (1,492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Snohomish County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $15k; list at $77k implies a 413% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 17.8% vs local median 3.0% in Marysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($108k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Signs of wear
Major: exterior siding
— Weathered and faded
Minor: landscaping
— Needs trimming and more vibrant plants
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29