2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,303 sqft ·
Built 1941
· Other
· Pending
· 65 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,508/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$477
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$317
Net cashflow
$143/mo
Annual
$1,717/yr
Cap rate
9.54%
Cash-on-cash
11.60%
DSCR
1.52
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $109k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($754 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
El Paso ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #591 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cooley El (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 411 students, 97% FRL); Henderson Middle (math 10% / reading 19%); Jefferson H S (math 17% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 1,107 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 65% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 32% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the El Paso ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $152/mo; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FH9GK2AED94WHX
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29