3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,946 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Active
· 158 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,217
Tax + insurance
−$705
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$657
Net cashflow
$-450/mo
Annual
$-5,397/yr
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.56%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$118,395
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $340k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-450 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $313k (7.9% below list).
It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($299k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $299k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#4 in GA, #538 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
City Schools Of Decatur (suburban): math 64% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #2 of 174 in GA (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Clairemont Elementary School (207 students, 30% FRL); Beacon Hill Middle School (math 58% / reading 68%, grade B+, #32 of 470 statewide, top 7%, 1,323 students, 13% FRL); Decatur High School (math 47% / reading 64%, grade C, #19 of 424 statewide, top 4%, 1,853 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools at 19% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 30d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 4.1% in Decatur — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $3,130/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($64k/yr) (locally 23% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FHDRZF2K0DM0Q5
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29