2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,584 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 687 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,129/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$461
Tax + insurance
−$566
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$657
Net cashflow
$1,445/mo
Annual
$17,336/yr
Cap rate
31.81%
Cash-on-cash
91.13%
DSCR
5.05
1% rule
3.56%
Cash to close
$24,640
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $88k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $88k).
It's been on market 687 days — a 12% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $77k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#750 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
Nelsonville-York City (rural): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #572 of 656 in OH (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5 units permitted in Athens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Athens County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,129/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 687 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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