2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,856 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 283 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,226/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$704
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$-781/mo
Annual
$-9,375/yr
Cap rate
3.61%
Cash-on-cash
-9.57%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
0.64%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-781 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (39.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $223k (36.4% below list).
It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($308k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (39.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-FJ6ZPYF2ESCJGV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29