2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1921
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,318/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$277
Net cashflow
$153/mo
Annual
$1,841/yr
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.70%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $153 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (5.8% below list).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $132k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#996 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $50k; list at $140k implies a 180% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FJHDH43WY7X1BK
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29