3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
400 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$802/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$522
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$168
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-96/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.35%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$27,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-96/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $98k (1.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $80k (19.4% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $80k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#266 in SD) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Chester Area School District 39-1 (rural): math 45% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #19 of 59 in SD (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 35 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected at +32% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FKMPK3B5ZK1G17
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29