2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
9,360 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,008/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$199
HOA
−$900
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$-142/mo
Annual
$-1,705/yr
Cap rate
4.87%
Cash-on-cash
-5.07%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $95k (20.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-.
Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Morningside Elementary School (math 71% / reading 72%, grade A-, #47 of 1,228 statewide, top 4%, 816 students, 6% FRL); David T Howard Middle School (math 58% / reading 63%, grade B+, #39 of 470 statewide, top 8%, 1,119 students, 19% FRL); Midtown High School (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 424 statewide, top 36%, 1,602 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 71% district-wide (56 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Atlanta Public Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: HOA is 45% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 327 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FM73DHFPWR75X3
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29