3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1970
· Manufactured
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,098/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$209
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$633/mo
Annual
$7,596/yr
Cap rate
25.33%
Cash-on-cash
68.00%
DSCR
4.03
1% rule
2.75%
Cash to close
$11,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $633 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($276 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Oran R-III (rural): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #39 of 535 in MO (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Oran High School (math 57% / reading 72%, grade B-, #19 of 521 statewide, top 4%, 187 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 38% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FMECZ8FZCWEGVC
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29