4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,302/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$472
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$273
Net cashflow
$-229/mo
Annual
$-2,753/yr
Cap rate
4.46%
Cash-on-cash
-6.56%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $109k (27.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (13.1% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $109k (27.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#395 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Allegany-Limestone Central School District (rural): math 55% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #233 of 590 in NY (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Allegany-Limestone Elementary School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #675 of 2,108 statewide, top 35%, 464 students, 43% FRL); Allegany-Limestone Middle-High School (math 52% / reading 70%, grade C+, #843 of 1,100 statewide, top 77%, 598 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29