4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,313/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$403
Tax + insurance
−$101
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$276
Net cashflow
$534/mo
Annual
$6,402/yr
Cap rate
14.62%
Cash-on-cash
29.75%
DSCR
2.32
1% rule
1.71%
Cash to close
$21,519
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $77k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $534 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $531 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#147 in OH, #2,275 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment D-.
Fairland Local (suburban): math 63% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #177 of 656 in OH (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FMSH38EXA6Q883
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29