3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,543 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Under Contract
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,101/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$231
Net cashflow
$280/mo
Annual
$3,355/yr
Cap rate
10.03%
Cash-on-cash
13.33%
DSCR
1.59
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.7%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#64 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Jackson County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #21 of 238 in AR (top 9%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $63k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FN5HM7BRQ0H615
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29