3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
886 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$395
Net cashflow
$421/mo
Annual
$5,047/yr
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.02%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.25%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#100 in IL, #1,602 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Byron CUSD 226 (town): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #68 of 620 in IL (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 27 active listings in the ZIP; 113 units permitted in Ogle County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ogle County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $85k; list at $150k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FN827S2Z8FVPMM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29