2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
978 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Condo
· Active
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$225
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$0/mo
Annual
$0/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
0.00%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $0 ($0/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Lake Shore Public Schools (Macomb) (suburban): math 22% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #334 of 540 in MI (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Masonic Heights Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 473 students, 58% FRL); Kennedy Middle School (math 25% / reading 45%, grade F, #283 of 493 statewide, top 58%, 694 students, 55% FRL); Lake Shore High School (math 19% / reading 51%, grade F, #368 of 713 statewide, top 52%, 950 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 122 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
15 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $16k; list at $130k implies a 712% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in St. Clair Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FP3HQ18G8F74V3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29