5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,872 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,149/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$555
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$661
Net cashflow
$98/mo
Annual
$1,171/yr
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.20%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$98,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $315k (10.0% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $315k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#33 in MN, #1,041 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Robbinsdale Public School District (suburban): math 24% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #250 of 301 in MN (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Noble Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #703 of 857 statewide, top 84%, 264 students, 69% FRL); Plymouth Middle (math 18% / reading 55%, grade F, #169 of 258 statewide, top 65%, 836 students, 50% FRL); Robbinsdale Armstrong Senior High (math 37% / reading 58%, grade D, #162 of 471 statewide, top 35%, 1,832 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $227k; list at $350k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.9% in Crystal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FP8GEG250NDWT5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29