3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,200 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 333 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,556/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,735
Tax + insurance
−$551
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$537
Net cashflow
$-267/mo
Annual
$-3,199/yr
Cap rate
5.33%
Cash-on-cash
-3.45%
DSCR
0.85
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$92,612
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $318k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-267 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $292k (8.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (19.7% below list).
It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($280k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $256k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#88 in VA, #2,896 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, commute F.
Suffolk City Public School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #72 of 131 in VA (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Florence Bowser Elementary (math 52% / reading 75%, grade B, #460 of 1,108 statewide, top 42%, 831 students, 64% FRL); John Yeates Middle (math 60% / reading 83%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 506 students, 64% FRL); Nansemond River High (math 44% / reading 87%, grade B, #204 of 319 statewide, top 65%, 1,698 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 39% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.6%/yr); 645 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 680 units permitted in Suffolk city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.6% in Suffolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-FPH62XBRJE1H6X
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29